My main current research interests
- Multiple comparison, simultaneous inference, and ranking and selections
- Sequential methods
These methodologies have immediate and wide applications in real problems.
Many methodological research projects are available in each of the two areas. If you are interested,
please email me at W.Liu@maths.soton.ac.uk
Some of my contributions (a
number in [] indicates the paper in my refereed journal publications)
- In many real problems, one has to make several inferences (e.g. to test several
hypotheses) at the same time and it is required that the inferences are
simultaneously correct `with a good chance' in certain sense. The classical problem
is to make inferences about several normal means. One can construct suitable simultaneous
confidence intervals for specific comparisons. The frequently used simutaneous confidence
intervals are Tukey's (1953) intervals for pairwise comparisons ([1,2,5,13,21]), Dunnett's (1955) intervals for
treatments-control comparisons ([4,27,32]), Hsu's (1981, 1984) intervals for comparisons with the best ([6,15]),
Hochberg and Marcus (1978) and Lee and Spurrier's (1995) intervals for successive comparisons ([37]),
and Hayter's (1990) intervals for one-sided-pariwise comparisons ([19,35]). One can also use type I familywise
error rate controlled tests which are often stepwise. For pairwise comparisons, my work includes ([18,26]).
For treatmants-control comparisons, my work includes ([16,24,30,32,40]). One may also consider the control of
type II error probability (power of a test) ([1,2,4,21,27]). Type III (directional) error probability can also
be considered even though it is probably less well known ([25,28,49]). Control of FDR (false discovery rate) or its variations has become very
popular when the number of hypotheses is very large (many thousands) following the celebrated work of Benjamini
and Hochberg (1995) ([33]). Another thread of my research in multiple comparison is to use recursive method to compute
exactly multivariate t or normal probabilities ([19,22,35,37,38])
- Many multiple comparison and simultaneous inference procedures can be generalized to situations that observations
can be taken sequentially ([11,17]). My prime research interest in sequential methods is in the so called sequential
estimation problems. The classical problem is the construction of a fixed-wdith 2d and level 1-a
confidence interval for the mean of a normal population, assuming the variance is unknown either. Since the
required total sample size depends on the variance and
the variance is assumed to be unknown, it is necessary to collect observations in at least two batches; the
unknown variance and the required total sample can be estimated after the first batch of observations. The
most famous sequential estimation procedures are Stein's (1945) two-stage procedure, Anscombe (1953) and
Chow and Robbins's (1965) one-observation-at-a-time procedure, and Hall's (1981) three-stage procedure. My
contributions include a new procedure ([23]), a demonstration that a five-stage procedure can be as good as
the one-observation-at-a-time procedure ([29]), and application of sequential estimation procedure to some
substantial new problems ([13], [31], [66]) in addition to some related but more general theoretical work ([36,46,47,51,56]).
-
Using a simultaneous confidence band to assess a linear regression model is part of simultaneous inference (see e.g.
Miller, 1981). Much of the published work is on approximate or conservative methods when there are more than one
explanatory variable. Simulation-based methods ([58,59,61,72])
allow the critical constant be calculated as accurate
as requird by using a sufficiently large number of simulations, in addition to exact methods for some special situations ([63,73,74]).
While the average width is the standard criterion for comparison of different confidence bands, [65,78] propose use of the
area of confidence set for the regression coefficients as a criterion.
Traditional comparison of means can be generalized to
comparison of regresion models following Spurrier (1999) ([55,59,67,68,69,70,71,75]). Using simultaneous confidence
bands to assess regression models is a fertile research area; see my book
Simultaneous Inference in Regression.
My book Simultaneous Inference in Regression, Chapman and Hall, 2010.