Monthly shampoo sales over three years					Single Exponential Smoothing
		Alpha	0.416859		MSE(SES)	7075.29
t	Yt	Ft	Deviation	SquaredDeviation
1	266
2	145.9	266	-120.1	14424.01		Note:
3	183.1	215.9353	-32.8353	1078.15431		Use Solver to minimize the MSE
4	119.3	202.2476	-82.9476	6880.303279		by varying Alpha
5	180.3	167.6702	12.62984	159.5128417
6	168.5	172.935	-4.43502	19.66940345
7	231.8	171.0862	60.71376	3686.160286
8	224.5	196.3953	28.10469	789.8738321
9	192.8	208.111	-15.311	234.4265514
10	122.9	201.7285	-78.8285	6213.927989
11	336.5	168.8681	167.6319	28100.44348
12	185.9	238.7469	-52.8469	2792.799907
13	194.3	216.7172	-22.4172	502.5323594
14	149.5	207.3724	-57.8724	3349.216169
15	210.1	183.2478	26.85221	721.0412217
16	273.3	194.4414	78.85863	6218.68366
17	191.4	227.3143	-35.9143	1289.835654
18	287	212.3431	74.6569	5573.652996
19	226	243.4645	-17.4645	305.00818
20	303.6	236.1843	67.41574	4544.881987
21	289.9	264.2871	25.6129	656.0204729
22	421.6	274.9641	146.6359	21502.09764
23	264.5	336.0905	-71.5905	5125.205704
24	342.3	306.2474	36.0526	1299.790271
25	339.7	321.2762	18.42376	339.434914
26	440.4	328.9563	111.4437	12419.68791
27	315.9	375.4126	-59.5126	3541.751017
28	439.3	350.6043	88.69574	7866.934802
29	401.3	387.5779	13.72214	188.2972205
30	437.4	393.2981	44.10195	1944.981767
31	575.5	411.6823	163.8177	26836.22681
32	407.6	479.9712	-72.3712	5237.586024
33	682	449.8026	232.1974	53915.62734
34	475.3	546.5961	-71.2961	5083.138458
35	581.3	516.8757	64.42429	4150.488721
36	646.9	543.7315	103.1685	10643.73051