DATA SETS FROM FORECASTING: METHODS AND APPLICATIONS (3RD EDITION)

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CHAPTER 1: THE FORECASTING PERSPECTIVE.

 

elec.dat              Australian monthly electricity production

ustreas.dat           US Treasury bill contracts

prodc.dat             Sales of product C

bricksq.dat           Australian clay brick production

 

CHAPTER 2: BASIC FORECASTING TOOLS.

 

cars.dat              Price, mileage and country of origin for 45 automobiles

                      from Consumer Reports, April 1990, pp.235-255.

beer2.dat             Monthly Australian beer production: Jan 1991 - Aug 1995

expendit.dat          Expenditures for 12 supermarket customers.

elec.dat              Australian monthly electricity production

milk.dat              Monthly milk production per cow over 14 years

Ex 2.1: paris.dat     Average monthly temperature in Paris.

Ex 2.3: dole.dat      Monthly total of people on unemployed benefits in

        cow.dat       Daily morning temperature of a cow.

        lynx.dat      Annual number of lynx trapped in McKenzie River district

                      of northwest Canada (1821-1934).

        deaths.dat    Accidental deaths in USA (monthly)

        bricksq.dat   Australian clay brick production

Ex 2.4: cow.dat       Daily morning temperature of a cow.

        deaths.dat    Accidental deaths in USA (monthly)

        airline.dat   International airline passengers (1949--1956)

        mink.dat      Annual number of minks trapped in McKenzie River

                      district of north-west Canada (1848-1911)

Ex 2.5: running.dat   Running times and maximal aerobic capacity for 14 female

                      runners.

Ex 2.6: ex2_6.dat     Demand and forecasts for product E15.

Ex 2.7: dowjones.dat  Dow Jones index, 28 Aug - 18 Dec 1972.

Ex 2.8: jcars.dat     Japanese motor vehicle production (1947-1989) in

                      thousands.

 

CHAPTER 3: TIME SERIES DECOMPOSITION.

 

hsales.dat            Monthly sales of new one-family houses sold in the USA

                      since 1973.

shampoo.dat           Sales of shampoo over a three year period

airline.dat           Monthly international airline passenger traffic from

                      1949-1956.

Ex 3.1: shipex.dat    Shipments.

Ex 3.4: elec2.dat     Quarterly electricity production.

Ex 3.5: plastics.dat  Monthly sales of product A for a plastics manufacturer

Ex 3.7: fsales.dat    Quarterly reports of a French company

Ex 3.8: labour.dat    Number of persons in the civilian labour force in

                      Australia each month from Feb 1978 - Aug 1995

 

CHAPTER 4: EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHODS.

 

ship.dat              Electric can opener shipments

invent15.dat          Inventory demand for product E15

qsales.dat            Quarterly sales data

Ex 4.1: canadian.dat  Canadian unemployment rate as a percentage of the

                      civilian labor force between 1974 and the third quarter

                      of 1975.

Ex 4.2: eknives.dat   Sales of electric knives for the period Jan 1991 through

                      April 1992.

Ex 4.4: french.dat    French index of industry

Ex 4.5: books.dat     Daily sales of paperback and hardcover books

Ex 4.6: ship.dat      Electric can opener shipments

Ex 4.7: airline.dat   Monthly international airline passenger traffic from

                      1949-1956.

Ex 4.8: qsales.dat    Quarterly sales data

 

CHAPTER 5: SIMPLE REGRESSION.

 

sales.dat             Sales data over 10 time periods.

pulppric.dat          World pulp prices and shipments

kkong.dat             "King Kong" data

pcv.dat               GDP for Western Europe and PCV industry sales

Ex 5.2: ex5_2.dat     Costs and units produced.

Ex 5.3: ozone.dat     Ozone depletion and melanoma rates.

Ex 5.4: dexter.dat    Scores on manual dexterity test and production ratings

                      for 20 workers

Ex 5.5: temperat.dat  Electricity consumption and maxium temperatures for 12

                      randomly chosen days

Ex 5.6: kkong.dat     "King Kong" data

Ex 5.7: olympic.dat   Winning times for the men's 400 m final in each Olympic

                      Games from 1896 to 1996.

Ex 5.8: fancy.dat     Monthly sales for a souvenir shop on the wharf at a

                      beach resort town in Queensland, Australia.

Ex 5.9: mortal.dat    Mortality data for 156 poultry farms, Aug 95-Jul 96.

Ex 5.10: gas.dat      Price and per capita consumption of natural gas in 20

                      towns in Texas

 

CHAPTER 6: MULTIPLE REGRESSION.

 

bankdata.dat          Bank data

res.dat               Three sets of residuals (Figure 6-6)

Ex 6.2: gas.dat       Price and per capita consumption of natural gas in 20

                      towns in Texas

Ex 6.4: cement.dat    Cement composition and heat data.

Ex 6.5: boston.dat    Monthly dollar volume of sales on Boston stock exchange

                      and combined New York and American stock exchanges.

Ex 6.7: advert.dat    Sales and advertising expenditure for an automotive

                      parts company.

 

CHAPTER 7: THE BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY FOR ARIMA MODELS.

 

wnoise.dat            Time series with 36 values

pigs.dat              Monthly total number of pigs slaughtered in the state of

                      Victoria, Australia, from Jan 1990 through Aug 1995

dj.dat                Dow-Jones index on 251 trading days ending 26 Aug 1994

elec.dat              Australian Monthly electricity production data from

                      January 1980 to August 1995.

computer.dat          Number of users logged on to an Internet server each

                      minute over 100 minutes.

writing.dat           Industry sales for printing and writing paper (in

                      Thousands of french francs). Jan 1963 - Dec 1972.

pollutn.dat           Monthly shipment of pollution equipment from Jan. 1966

                      through Dec. 1975 (in thousands of french francs).

Ex 7.2: ibm2.dat      Daily closing IBM stock prices.

Ex 7.3: wn.dat        White noise series

Ex 7.4: strikes.dat   Number of strikes in the US from 1951 to 1980.

Ex 7.5: condmilk.dat  Stocks of evaporated and sweetened condensed milk.

Ex 7.6: sheep.dat     Sheep population (in millions) of England and Wales from

                      1867 - 1939.

Ex 7.7: bicoal.dat    Annual bituminous coal production in the USA, 1920-1968.

Ex 7.8: elecnew.dat   The total generation of electricity by the U.S. electric

                      industry (monthly data for the period Jan. 1985 - Oct.

                      1996).

Ex 7.9: motion.dat    Employment figures in the motion picture industry (SIC

                      Code 78) for the period Jan 1955 through Dec 1970.

Ex 7.10: hsales2.dat  Sales of new one-family houses, USA, from Jan 1987

                      through Nov 1995.

 

CHAPTER 8: ADVANCED FORECASTING MODELS.

 

jcars.dat             Japanese motor vehicle production (1947-1989) in

                      thousands.

petrol.dat            US monthly sales of petroleum and related products.  Jan

                      1971 - Dec 1991.

adv_sale.dat          Sales volume and advertising expenditure for a dietary

                      weight control product.

housing.dat           Monthly housing starts, construction contracts and

                      average new home mortgate rates. Jan 83 - Oct 89.

ukdeaths.dat          Monthly total deaths and serious injuries on UK roads.

                      Jan 75 - Dec 84.

capital.dat           Seasonally adjusted quarterly capital expenditure and

                      appropriations in U.S. manufacturing, 1953-1974.

Ex 8.1: advert.dat    Sales and advertising expenditure for an automotive

                      parts company.

Ex 8.2: huron.dat     Level of Lake Huron in feet (reduced by 570 feet),

                      1875-1972.

Ex 8.6: input.dat     Input series.

Ex 8.7: motel.dat     Total room nights occupied and total monthly takings

                      from accommodation at hotels, mostels, and guest houses

                      in Victoria, Australia.  Jan 80 - Jun 95.

        cpi_mel.dat   Quarterly CPI (consumer price index) for Victoria. Q1

                      1980 - Q2 1995.

Ex 8.8: schizo.dat    Daily perceptual speed scores for a schizophrenic

                      patient.  A new drug was introduced on day 61.

 

CHAPTER 9: FORECASTING THE LONG TERM

 

9-1.dat       Fig 9-1:  Monthly copper prices for 28 consecutive months

9-2.dat       Fig 9-2:  Yearly copper prices for 14 consecutive years

9-3.dat       Fig 9-3:  Yearly copper prices for 43 consecutive years

9-4.dat       Fig 9-4:  Yearly copper prices, 1800-1997 (1997 dollars)

9-5.dat       Fig 9-5:  IBM sales and profits (1954-1984) and forecasts.

9-9.dat       Fig 9-6:  Wheat prices, 1264-1996, in constant 1996 pounds.

9-10.dat      Fig 9-7a: Nail prices, 1800-1996, in constant $.

9-11.dat      Fig 9-7b: Price of chicken, 1924-1993, in constant $.

9-12.dat      Fig 9-7c: Price of a dozen eggs, 1900-1993, in constant $.

9-13.dat      Fig 9-7d: Telephone cost: New York - San Francisco. 1915-1996

wagesuk.dat   Fig 9-8:  Real daily wages in pounds, England.  1260 - 1994

9-17a.dat     Fig 9-9a: Annual Copper prices, 1800-1997

9-17b.dat     Fig 9-9b: Quarterly S&P 500 index, 1900-1996

 

CHAPTER 10: JUDGMENTAL FORECASTING AND ADJUSTMENTS.

 

elco.dat      Fig 10-4: Sales of Elco's laser printers: 1992-1998.

10-6.dat      Fig 10-6: Oil prices in constant 1997 dollars.  1870-1997.

 

CHAPTER 11: THE USE OF FORECASTING METHODS IN PRACTICE.

 

11-2.dat      Fig 11-2: example of combining

 

CHAPTER 12: IMPLEMENTING FORECASTING: ITS USES, ADVANTAGES AND LIMITATIONS.

 

No data

 

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These data may be copied and distributed for educational use.  Please

acknowledge the book from which they were taken.

 

Rob J Hyndman

2 December 1997